It has been rare for Republican presidential candidates to lead national polls this century, but GOP presidential nominee Donald Trump’s MAGA movement is changing that in this election cycle.

The two most recent national polls in the RealClear Politics polling average have Trump leading Harris nationally among likely voters:

A Republican candidate leading nationally, or garnering the popular vote in presidential elections, is very rare, conservatives note, because of the large Democrat strangleholds in the biggest states of California, New York, and Illinois. Those states have very large majorities of registered Democrats compared to Republicans.

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