In less than 24 hours, Germans will vote in an election that much of the world will be closely watching.

One question that has been asked increasingly about this election is whether the blessings of Elon Musk and J.D. Vance will boost the vote of the Alternative for Germany (AfD) — a nationalist party that takes a hard line on illegal immigration, is defiant of the European Union, is skeptical about Germany’s role in Ukraine, and has been ruled out as a partner in a future governing coalition by the front-runner CDU (conservative) Party.

Since its founding 12 years ago, the AfD has gone from barely missing the 5% threshold for seats in the Bundestag (parliament) to running second to the CDU in nearly all polls on the Sunday election.

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